Electoral Calculus is predicting the annihilation of Labour in Tottenham and its replacement by the Greens at the next GE.
As part of that, they are predicting that the majority of voters in St.Anns ward will vote for the Greens. On that basis, I'm assuming they will win both spots in St.Anns in the earlier council elections this May. I'm also assuming many of the Haringey Labour Party members will jump ship and join the Greens after May.
As many are saying, the next GE looks to be a fight between Reform (possibly in alliance with Restore Britain) and the Greens. Personally I think Restore will subsume Reform beforehand unless the election is called early. You can see Restore Britain's policies on its website www.restorebritain.org.uk
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A week is a long time in politics and the next "GE" is more than three years away.
By then, Labour's unpopular, present leader may be a distant memory.
Kier Starmer's promotion of Mandelson along with his recurring poor judgement will be put behind them.
Labour still have a massive majority in Parliament. If one discounts the current PM, then at national level the Party still has big assets, mainly time.
Time to reform. Time to install a leader rather than a manager. Time to make decisions that stay on the road rather than are U-turned. Time that Labour need to use better than since the last "GE".
At both local and national level, Labour need to try harder to reduce waste, mistakes and corruption.
Long before the next GE, this Thursday's Gorton and Denton by election and our May local elections may hasten the changes needed.
Brian, Please forget or put aside all the this-group-will-take -over-that-group-speculative guesswork by analysts few people have heard of.
What about you?
Where does your head and your heart and your gut lead you? You've posted a link to restore Britain website. is that your personal wish for the next General Election?
Don't be shy.
There are 2 things I agree with in what Rupert says. He says it clearly and without apology.
Yes, I agree with much of what Rupert Lowe says. Not all, but much of it. And, if we assume a GE doesn't happen before 2029, then yes I think Restore will subsume Reform. After all, there is now little to distinguish Reform from the Conservatives or even Labour now.
What are the Restore policies you agree with? And, if you say none, how would you propose a government address the challenges that Restore's policies seek to overcome?
Hi Brian, Thanks for reading and replying.
Sorry if I wasn't clear enough.
It's not Rupert Lowe's policies I agree with. I wrote that there were two things I agreed with.
One was his clarity. The other was his repeated determination to offer no apology.
The words are clear. He sets out calmly, deliberately and in detail, what he wants to do. And more than that what he is determined to do and what he will use power to make happen. For example, if someone needs training, they will have to take the training. Also that this will be - no option - a Christian country, and so forth.
Lowe knows that some people may criticise him. Or perhaps be offended by him. He won't apologise. Or they may disagree with his actions. Again no apologies. His plans and actions are stated, certain, listed. No apologies.
It's not on the tin or somewhere in the small print, or in the manual. It's the man himself, in front of the microphone brightly lit, the crowd cheering but not drowning out a single word. His mouth is speaking the words. There's no indication of a faked video. He said it; it's on his own website. We must assume he means it. Every word. There are no questions and answers. No vagueness.
As I said: clarity. In all its terrifying unapologetic racist and probably fascist horror for anyone who pays close detailed attention, especially in the current state of the country and the world.
Brian, as you had already and rightly guessed, while I appreciate Rupert Lowe's candour, I do not agree with his policies. Your interesting question then about my own solutions, starts in a different place to him. He appears to be talking-down the UK - and its nations. Which I do not do; on the contrary. Nor do I see immigration as the major problem he does.
But talking about this would need far more time and space. Beginning with me as a very scared and homesick small boy whose legs were suddenly not working. Who was rushed to hospital with suspected Polio. And nursed by young women from a country they told me was called Switzerland.
He's not talking-down Britain" - quite the opposite. 'Best people in the world' are his words. Finally, a politician who is proud of Britain and is unapologetic about wanting to save it!
I've watched Rupert Lowe's video. I watched it with an open mind assuming at some point he would say something with which I disagreed. That never happened. I loved every single word. If anyone is going to restore Britain it is this man! As the popularity of Restore Britain grows, they will have all sorts of accusations thrown at them by the usual characters (one of them has already started on this thread) but the name calling no longer works. Everyone sees through that now. My only concern is that they will try to assassinate him in a literal rather than figurative sense.
Just to say that - at least in this video we're discussing - Rupert Lowe is clear that he is uninterested in this name-calling.
Also let me make it clear that I use the term 'fascist' not to abuse but as what it meant originally for example in Italy as a system of Government. Which is also why I try to understand Donald Trump's Government as having strongly Fascist aspects.
Aspects which appear in a number of other States including in Europe.
Both you and I Oli Brown will reject and deplore violence in our politics.
Alan, Brian, Oli, F or those of us less versed in this ins and outs of this new political party, does the TLDR News item on YouTube offer a fair summary?
HUGH, thanks for posting this; I'd never heard of Restore until a few days ago.
I note that Elon Musk has endorsed Restore, as Musk also approved of Germany's AFD. The Restore endorsement presumably occurred after Musk said that Farage doesn't have what it takes.
Birds of a feather.
Farage has been close to Trump, personally, with policy and ideologically.
For the best guide as to how a Farage Government would perform in office, we need only look across the pond to see how the "Republican" president is acting in office. The GOP is now much more Trump's Party than the Labour Party is Starmer's. Trump derides moderate Republicans as RINO: Republican In Name Only. Several past Republican Presidents—including Ronald Reagan—have defended and championed immigration to the country founded by immigrants.
There is a list of Faragist domestic policies that I could not support. However, there is one that gets little air-time and yet is potentially the most insidious long-term threat to our near neighbours and therefore, to the UK.
And a theme that closely aligns with Trump actions, insofar as anyone can detect consistency.
In the lowest point of US foreign relations that I can remember, in Anchorage Alaska the wannabe dictator literally rolled out the red carpet for a genuine dictator. Both Trump and his (more deranged) henchman Steven Mlller have echoed Kremlin lies and distortions about Russia's invasion of their neighbour.
One of the few areas I would give full credit to Sir Keir Starmer personally, is his steadfast support for NATO, for Ukraine and our true European Allies. In these respects, Boris Johnson also stood tall (and his several Conservative successor PMs).
Four year after Trump initially welcomed Putin's Special Military Operation, 1.25 million Russian invading soldiers have been killed or wounded and the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost of 55,000 soldiers trying to defend their country.
To return to the topic of this thread, IMO the Green Party's seeking to withdraw from NATO when it is needed more than at any time since WW2, is a negative.
Slava Ukraini
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RINO as a term really started to get used heavily when we started the Tea Party movement. The first big victory being the removal of Eric Cantor, then Republican Majority Leader in the House. Cantor was "primaried" which sadly isn't something that can be done the crappy system here or else there would be no need for new parties, we would take the "Conservatives" (CINOs) from within the party itself the same way we did in the Republican party. There are still plenty of Uniparty, deep state RINOs, particularly in the Senate, an institution that was particularly ruined by the 17th Amendment.
"Ronald Reagan [] defended and championed immigration to the country founded by immigrants." Of course you provide no evidence to support this ridiculous assertion. First, as a general proposition, NO ONE NOW OR EVER HAS DISLIKED IMMIGRANTS. People don't like unvetted, ILLEGAL aliens.
Reagan was led to believe that by signing Simpson-Mazzoli and granting amnesty, this would end the illegal alien problem (pale in comparison then to what it is today). It didn't and he was bitter about that after, more so the great Ed Meese his Attorney General.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/2013/01/30/how_the_immigration_re...
The Republican party was founded in 1854 as an anti slavery party. It won the presidency in 1860 with Abraham Lincoln. You mock the president as a "Republican". Why don't you tell us what the Republican party is since you must obviously know. Then tell us what makes the president not a "Republican".
This, from Searchlight, seems to give a good indication of where Restore are heading - happy to let the right type of foreigners join it seems...
https://searchlightmagazine.com/2026/02/banned-us-neo-nazi-joins-re...
After it found this guy no one has ever heard of to construct its caricature of this party, did this Searchlight then proceed to talk about what an actual white supremacist looks like? I doubt it, because to find one the magazine would have had to look to the Democrat (Labour/Green/other leftists) party.
The Democrat party is the party of slavery. The party that used the KKK as its enforcement arm (like Left used the Blackshirts and Brownshirts in the 30s and how it uses Antifa now). The party of Jim Crow (poll taxes, literacy tests, grandfather clauses). The party of Japanese internment.
Just this past week, the guy who thinks he will be the Democrat nominee for president in 2028, Gavin Newsom, just told black people he is stupid like they are -"I am like you. I'm a 960 SAT guy. I can't read.". Don't take my word for it, listen to him say it. (SAT is a stardised aptitude test used admissions into most universities.) If a Republican had said this, you would never have heard the end of it.
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