Electoral Calculus is predicting the annihilation of Labour in Tottenham and its replacement by the Greens at the next GE.
As part of that, they are predicting that the majority of voters in St.Anns ward will vote for the Greens. On that basis, I'm assuming they will win both spots in St.Anns in the earlier council elections this May. I'm also assuming many of the Haringey Labour Party members will jump ship and join the Greens after May.
As many are saying, the next GE looks to be a fight between Reform (possibly in alliance with Restore Britain) and the Greens. Personally I think Restore will subsume Reform beforehand unless the election is called early. You can see Restore Britain's policies on its website www.restorebritain.org.uk
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Some of last night's Green wave can be attributed to their relatively recent, effective and charismatic leader, Zack Polanski.
The Green by-election victory renews pressure on current (wooden) national Labour leader, Kier Starmer who is lacking in the above qualities.
His local New-Labour representative (council leader Peray Ahmet) may wonder if some of her words in their current Labour election leaflet were good enough.
Or even hold water:
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"Haringey Labour is here for you
"We've delivered real change to make Haringey a fairer, greener place [really?] …
We've upgraded 21 parks, planted 6,000 trees … [both misleading] … "we've done all this while protecting frontline services [library hours slashed by a third].
[more ambitious] from clean streets and safe neighbourhoods to green spaces [shrinking] and quality schools and libraries [days of closures every week]"
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The local leader lacks credibility in green issues, from actions over the last three years to her embedded outlook, as evidenced in her brief comments, pre-pandemic in a public meeting:
Those who attended the meeting hosted by Living Streets in the Green Rooms may remember the entrance of Cllr Ahmet (before she led the New Labour Group). She largely addressed her fellow Cab member who chaired the meeting.
We heard that environment was a niche issue. It was of interest to a narrow "demographic" and of little interest to her people. I had the impression she forget that it was a public meeting.
After delivering her undermining of her colleague (Kirsten Hearn), I seem to remember she strode out of the meeting, as if to convey her disinterest, if not contempt.
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