Electoral Calculus is predicting the annihilation of Labour in Tottenham and its replacement by the Greens at the next GE.
As part of that, they are predicting that the majority of voters in St.Anns ward will vote for the Greens. On that basis, I'm assuming they will win both spots in St.Anns in the earlier council elections this May. I'm also assuming many of the Haringey Labour Party members will jump ship and join the Greens after May.
As many are saying, the next GE looks to be a fight between Reform (possibly in alliance with Restore Britain) and the Greens. Personally I think Restore will subsume Reform beforehand unless the election is called early. You can see Restore Britain's policies on its website www.restorebritain.org.uk
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A week is a long time in politics and the next "GE" is more than three years away.
By then, Labour's unpopular, present leader may be a distant memory.
Kier Starmer's promotion of Mandelson along with his recurring poor judgement will be put behind them.
Labour still have a massive majority in Parliament. If one discounts the current PM, then at national level the Party still has big assets, mainly time.
Time to reform. Time to install a leader rather than a manager. Time to make decisions that stay on the road rather than are U-turned. Time that Labour need to use better than since the last "GE".
At both local and national level, Labour need to try harder to reduce waste, mistakes and corruption.
Long before the next GE, this Thursday's Gorton and Denton by election and our May local elections may hasten the changes needed.
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