We're saved, no more traffic problems! Vox article here.
So far, discussion of self-driving cars has mostly confined itself to tech geeks and urbanists. But if they live up to their promise, autonomous vehicles could have seismic effects on America’s economy and culture. It’s probably time for a wider circle of participants, including economists, politicians, and social scientists, to start grappling seriously with what’s coming.
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Let’s take just one example: long-haul trucking.
In a great post about autonomous trucks, blogger and independent researcher Scott Santens advocates for a universal basic income to protect truck drivers and the many others who will lose jobs to automation and robotics in coming decades.
That’s an interesting idea — lots of good Vox articles on it — but it seems unlikely to manifest in the US in the next decade.
Until then, what’s the solution to hundreds of thousands of unemployed truck drivers?
Tags for Forum Posts: autonomous vehicles, basic income, traffic, vox
I have now. Thanks. Elon Musk says and does some far out things so of course has a long list of critics. I however posted that with the robotisation of US inter-state truck driving we would need to have a basic income. I completely take the coming of autonomous vehicles as a given though and I think that's what you're getting at.
I do wonder in the urban environment how they'll get around though. I mean all it would take is some bored young kids to discover that they can play chicken with cars and always win to bring autonomous urban transport to a halt. There are of course solutions to this; either teach the vehicles to smidsy and kill the odd pedestrian for no consequence (which is what we have at the moment) or ban them from public roads in urban areas.
I'm at 5-7 years. 20? Investors want a return on their money before then!
Basic income will become necessary. Almost all jobs will be automated.
Why would you need basic income provision? That has never been done for any industry in the past (miners, steel workers, ship builders etc). What makes truckers different?
OK, let's just have hundreds of millions of starving unemployed people, that always works out. Did you read the article I linked to? That explains it better.
It's not that easy. Eg, you can look 1980 to 2000 and say "X,000 industrial jobs lost, X,000 jobs in call centres created, so the call centre jobs replaced the steel jobs" and on the macro level you are right, but on the individual level where people actually live, what really happened was the older steel workers never worked again, the younger ones retrained/moved jobs, and the generation below them were in the call centre jobs from the start.
Take digital publishing. That wiped out a whole section of skilled jobs in printing over a very short period of time. I knew a guy who'd been a typesetter - I met him trying to retrain to use Quark Xpress (yup, long time ago!). He was trying, but at 50 it was pretty clear he wasn't what employers wanted for a trainee job, and his experience wasn't worth anything any more. Very very sad.
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